The Last Jedi is a Messy Masterpiece
For months, critics and viewers have been predicting and naming their picks for winners in this year’s awards season. While various festivals and low-publicized award ceremonies have already taken place, tomorrow night’s 71st Golden Globes are sure to predict the winners of the upcoming Academy Awards (March 2nd), which is the culmination of awards season. Below are my own thoughts and predictions for the winners in select film and TV categories.
Check my last article on the nominations for the complete list of nominees.
BEST MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA
12 Years a Slave
Since its premiere, Steve McQueen’s latest film, starring Chiwetel Ejiofor and Michael Fassbender, has been lauded and included on many critics’ lists of best film of the year and a definite pick for the Best Picture at the Oscars; and they are absolutely correct. 12 Years a Slave tells the true story of a freed man sold into slavery with sheer brutality and heartbreak. I’ve never seen slavery in a film done like this. A likely alternate is Alfonso Cuaron’s anxiety-ridden film, Gravity, which has also been overwhelmingly praised for its visuals and performances.
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA
Cate Blanchett – Blue Jasmine
Cate Blanchett is undoubtedly one of the finest actresses of this generation, and her performance in Woody Allen’s latest film, which is a darkly comedic take on Tennessee Williams’ A Streetcar Named Desire, is just too damn good for the HFPA to pass up. Blanchett plays a former Upper East Side socialite who, after losing everything, stays with her sister in San Francisco, where she continues her downward spiral in depression, manic episodes, and a complete mental breakdown. Another likely alternate is Sandra Bullock’s performance in Gravity.
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA
Chiwetel Ejiofor – 12 Years a Slave
Ejiofor is no doubt likely to win this award; he’s definitely proven himself as a serious actor with monumental talent. Matthew McConaughey will likely be an alternate for his role in Dallas Buyers Club. However, I wouldn’t be surprised if film legend Robert Redford surprised us with a win.
BEST MOTION PICTURE – COMEDY OR MUSICAL
American Hustle is a no brainer for this category; it’s been getting top praise since its release in early December. Other likely alternatives are The Wolf of Wall Street, Martin Scorsese’s latest film, the Coen Brothers’ Inside Llewyn Davis, or Spike Jonze’s recently released Her, which has also been praised.
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE – COMEDY OR MUSICAL
Greta Gerwig – Frances Ha
Greta Gerwig is my definite pick for this category. Her role as a troubled, broke, dedicated dancer in New York City was very relatable and carried emotion throughout the film. Strong alternates are Meryl Streep for August: Osage County, Julia Dreyfus for Enough Said, and Amy Adams for the highly praised American Hustle.
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE – COMEDY OR MUSICAL
Oscar Isaac – Inside Llewyn Davis
This seems to be a tough competition: Christian Bale is likely to win because of his role in the popular American Hustle, Bruce Dern gave a great performance in Nebraska, Oscar Isaac delivered a true breakthrough performance in Inside Llewyn Davis, Joaquin Phoenix warmed hearts in Her, and Leonardo DiCaprio gave what many are claiming to be his best performance yet in The Wolf of Wall Street. I have a strong feeling that Bale or DiCaprio will win, however, I’m betting on Isaac to take this one.
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE
Lupita Nyong’o – 12 Years a Slave
Sally Hawkins has a chance for her role in Blue Jasmine and in continuing a trend of supporting actresses winning awards for Woody Allen films. The actress I feel should take this award home is Lupita Nyong’o, who gave a powerhouse performance in 12 Years a Slave. However, the actress who is sure to win this one is Jennifer Lawrence for her good performance in American Hustle.
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE
Jared Leto – Dallas Buyers Club
The three actors who have a big chance at this one are Michael Fassbender, Bradley Cooper, and Jared Leto, for their roles in 12 Years a Slave, American Hustle, and Dallas Buyers Club, respectively. Cooper is the actor who I feel would win, followed by Fassbender, however I feel that Leto should win this one.
BEST DIRECTOR – MOTION PICTURE
Steve McQueen – 12 Years a Slave
If this category were separated by the Drama and Comedy/Musical genre, then David O. Russell and Steve McQueen are definite contenders for this award. However, the merger of both genres makes this category a tough one to predict. Russell is most likely to walk away with this one, but McQueen has a very strong chance, followed by Alfonso Cuaron for Gravity.
BEST SCREENPLAY – MOTION PICTURE
12 Years a Slave
Like the previous category, this one is between American Hustle and 12 Years a Slave. This category is also a merger of adapted and original screenplays, and if it were so, then 12YAS and AH would have their own awards. However, AH lacked a coherent plot and instead focused on its style, so 12YAS gets my bet.
BEST TELEVISION SERIES – DRAMA
House of Cards
Breaking Bad seems like a sure bet for this category, but Netflix’s breakthrough original House of Cards has been widely praised and winning this one will sure help revolutionize the new trend of online programming.
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A TELEVISION SERIES – DRAMA
Robin Wright – House of Cards
Julianna Margulies has been nominated numerous times and is due for an award, but Robin Wright is giving her a run for her money. Also making big headlines is Tatiana Maslany for her role in Orphan Black.
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A TELEVISION SERIES – DRAMA
Bryan Cranston – Breaking Bad
Bryan Cranston is sure to win this one, as it is the last time he’d be nominated. A strong alternate is Kevin Spacey for House of Cards, followed by James Spader for his role in the new series The Black List.
BEST TELEVISION SERIES – COMEDY OR MUSICAL
Modern Family is a strong contender, but Parks and Recreation seems like a strong alternate, as well as NBC’s latest comedy Brooklyn Nine-Nine. Also a strong alternate is HBO’s Girls, which took home the award last year.
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A TELEVISION SERIES – COMEDY OR MUSICAL
Lena Dunham — Girls
Lena Dunham took this one award home last year for Girls, so she’s a strong bet on this one. However, Julia Dreyfus has a strong chance, as she’s won Emmys for her role on Veep. A likely alternate is Amy Poehler for Parks and Recreation and Edie Falco for Nurse Jackie.
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A TELEVISION SERIES – COMEDY OR MUSICAL
Don Cheadle – House of Lies
Don Cheadle won this award for House of Lies last year, so he’s at the top of the list for this category. A strong alternate is Jim Parsons for The Big Bang Theory or Andy Samberg for Brooklyn Nine-Nine.
BEST MINI-SERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION
Behind the Candelabra
Steven Soderbergh’s final film Behind the Candelabra, the Liberace biopic, is definitely the winner for this one; it took the top awards at the Emmys. A strong alternate (although not likely) is Top of the Lake followed by American Horror Story: Coven.
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MINI-SERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION
Elisabeth Moss – Top of the Lake
Elisabeth Moss is a strong contender for her role in Top of the Lake. Likely to win also is Helen Mirren for her role in Phil Spector.
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MINI-SERIES OR MOTION PICTURE
Michael Douglas – Behind the Candelabra
This to me is a no brainer: Douglas’ performance as Liberace should be taught in acting school. If by some disastrous chance Douglas won’t win, then Matt Damon is a strong alternate also for Behind the Candelabra.
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A SERIES, MINI-SERIES, OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION
Monica Potter – Parenthood
Monica Potter is probably the most underrated and underappreciated actress on television right now. She delivers a strong performance, especially in the past couple of seasons. A definite alternate is Sofia Vergara from Modern Family.
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A SERIES, MINI-SERIES, OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION
Aaron Paul – Breaking Bad
Paul is most likely to win this one seeing as how it is the last time he’d be nominated, and also because of his extraordinary role as Jesse Pinkman. A likely alternate is Corey Stoll for his performance in House of Cards.
The 71st Golden Globes will be broadcasted live tomorrow night, Sunday January 12, on NBC and will be hosted by Tina Fey and Amy Poehler.